I will try to incorporate four new themes in assessing Kosovo and Iraq. The first theme is drawn from the excellent op-ed on the Balkans in Le Monde Diplomatique (1/08) "US is Opening a Pandora's Box with border changes in the Balkans." To quote Le Monde: "The status of Kosovo and political impasse in Bosnia-Hercegovenia indicate that all the elements of a new regional crisis are reuniting due to the failure of International Community initiatives over the past 15 years. In this deteriorating environment, the old idea of redrawing the borders in the Balkans is beginning to resurface, so that peoples and ethnic minorities are beginning to tremble with fear that this idea will plunge the Balkans into chaos."

My second theme will be to apply this same assessment to Iraq, without changing a word of the analysis aside from the names of the countries. In other words, Iraq's crisis today is an exact replay of the Yugoslav crisis, identical in all important details.

My third theme will be that the only significant difference between the Yugoslav crisis and the Iraq crisis is that the first was started by Bill Clinton and Richard Holbrooke, while the second was started by George Bush and Richard Perle. The Clinton-Bush political techniques for starting both crises were the same. Clinton and Bush provoked ethnic conflict and massive human rights violations in Yugoslavia and Iraq, respectively, and then used these violations to justify large scale military intervention of Yugoslavia and Iraq. US military intervention led directly to US-sponsored partitioning of Yugoslavia and Iraq and to the "Pandora's Box" of border changes described above. Yugoslovia was selected as the first victim, Iraq as the second, Turkey and the Arab states as the final victims.

My fourth theme is that international anarchy is on the rise. due to misguided Holbrooke-Perle US policies, and could spin out of control, beginning in the Balkans and the Middle East. However. a significant chance for peace exists because of three positive new developments.

-- The pro-anarchy aggressor states of Germany in the Balkans; Iran and Kurds in the Middle East; and Venezuela in Latin America are faltering because they face strong opposition at home and in the region. In fact, there is excellent news that Bolivia's failures will drag Evo Morales and Hugo Chavez from power, and possibly even Ahmadinejad and Rafsanjani in Iran.

-- The Communist states, which are anti-Nazi and anti-Fascist, are cooperating to meet this threat from Germany, Iran and Venezuela. Russia and China have recreated the USSR that now has as partners (along with Russia and China) the Central Asian States, Serbia, North Korea, and Syria. This is will be new home for the US. In fact, the new US president should be directing this anti-Nazi coalition.

-- The rise of new US leadership in the candidacy of Barak Obama will discredit Bush, weaken his policies, and create immediate opportunities for a pro-US approach in foreign policy. How to Tell Good Guys from Bad GuysTo summarize: the only good Kurd is a dead Kurd; the only good Albanian is a dead Albanian; the only good Croatian (like Franjo Tudjman is a dead Croatian; the only good Austrian (like Kurt Waldheim) is a dead Austrian; the only good German (like Angela Merkel) is a dead Geman); and the only good Iranians are dead Iranians. John Bolton and his neoconservatives (like Holbrooke and Perle) support these Nazi groups. The only good neoconservatives, like those groups mentioned above, are dead neoconservatives.

Who are the good guys? The good guys are the Communists (Russia, China, North Korea, Serbia, and Syria) and the US Republican Party (minus Romney and the Bush family). Romney and Bush represent the comprador, pro-Nazi section of the US capitalist class. They are the enemy and have turned the US into a semi-colony of Iran and the Nazis.

In the context of a different revolution, England 1642, today Bush is Charles I, who was a pawn of Spain. Mike Huckabee is a combination of Oliver Cromwell, Ian Paisley, and Mao. Huckabee/Cromwell and his middle class and proletarian allies – i.e., the Roundheads – will prevail over Bush and his aristocrats. Moreover, Obama and Huckabee are on the same team as US nationalists.